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  • The EU’s Updated Draft AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Jurisdictions ‘Take Two’: A Critique

    The EU’s Updated Draft AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Jurisdictions ‘Take Two’: A Critique

    Alicia Nicholls

    In the midst of the human and economic challenges wrought by the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, another threat looms for three Caribbean countries. The European Commission (the Commission) last week released its draft updated List of High Risk Third Jurisdictions which have strategic deficiencies in their Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) regimes that pose significant threats to the financial system of the 27-nation bloc. Barbados and Jamaica now join The Bahamas on the updated draft EU list.

    Readers would recall that the Commission’s previous draft list of February 13, 2019 was ultimately rejected by the Council of the EU on March 5, 2019, sending the Commission back to the drawing board. Unfortunately, the Commission’s release of the revised draft list has occurred in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic – widely acknowledged to be the worst economic shock to hit the global economy, including the economies of those Caribbean countries listed.

    While the draft list still requires European Parliament and Council approval, and is set to apply only from October 1 2020, mere inclusion on such a list could still present reputational risks and other financial implications for those countries listed, particularly for Barbados and The Bahamas which are International Financial Centres (IFCs). This article briefly looks at the implications of the updated list for the countries named and possible next steps.

    What is the EU’s AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Countries?

    The EU’s draft AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Countries is completely distinct from its list of non-cooperative jurisdictions for tax purposes. Indeed, this draft list forms part of a suite of measures proposed by the European Commission designed “to further strengthen the EU’s framework to fight against money laundering and terrorist financing”. The EU’s stricter approach to AML/CFT supervision was prompted, in particular, by a number of high-profile money laundering scandals involving European banks over the past few years. The EU has also this week proposed the creation of a Pan-European AML/CFT authority.

    However, despite these threats in its own backyard, the EU has chosen to focus a good part of its attention on purported AML/CFT risks posed by third States. According to the EU’s website, the list “aims to address risks to the EU’s financial system caused by third countries with deficiencies in their anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing regimes”. The first EU AML/CFT list of high risk third jurisdictions was drawn up in 2016 based on the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) lists and has been updated regularly by subsequent delegated regulations. In 2017, the EU commenced working on its own methodology for identifying third jurisdictions with strategic deficiencies in their AML/CFT regimes. This new EU methodology, which only uses the FATF lists as a starting point, was adopted in 2018. The now rejected February 13, 2019 list is the first to be drawn up according to this new methodology which was again revised in May 2020.

    Under the EU’s Fourth Anti-Money Laundering Directive (4AMLD), banks and other ‘obliged entities’ in the EU are required to apply enhanced customer due diligence (ECDD) on transactions and business relationships involving those countries listed as high-risk third countries. In other words, transactions originating from or going to those countries will be subject to enhanced scrutiny, which could mean longer wait times for completion and more frequent risk assessment reviews of the relationship.

    Who is included in the updated draft list?

    The EU in its methodology for identifying high risk jurisdictions, indicated that its proposed AML/CFT blacklist would use the FATF lists as its starting point. As such, the Bahamas, which is on the FATF list of jurisdictions under increased monitoring (loosely referred to as the ‘grey list), remains on the updated Commission list. Barbados and Jamaica, which were added to the FATF grey list of February 21, 2020, were added to the new draft EU AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Jurisdictions. Like the other countries on the FATF grey list, The Bahamas, Barbados and Jamaica were identified as having strategic deficiencies in their regimes to counter money laundering, terrorist financing and proliferation financing but have undertaken a high-level political commitment to implement a FATF-agreed action plan to address these deficiencies.

    The other countries included on the EU’s updated draft list are Botswana, Cambodia, Ghana, Mauritius, Mongolia, Myanmar/Burma, Nicaragua, Panama and Zimbabwe, which are also on the FATF grey list of February 2020. However, the draft list does not include Iceland, a non-EU Member Country but part of the European Economic Area, which was also added to the FATF’s grey list.

    Issues with the List

    First, it is unfortunate that the European Commission would release this updated list while these countries’ economies are already suffering the harsh impact from the COVID-19 pandemic and could be further impacted by the reputational fall-out from this unilateral action. Indeed, although this measure is not supposed to take effect until October 1, 2020, the mere mention of these countries’ inclusion could spook investors and clients at a time when these countries’ economies are in a tailspin from COVID-19.

    Second,  like its failed list before, the EU is lumping jurisdictions which are on FATF’s grey list, that is, the list of monitored jurisdictions with an action plan with those which are on the actual FATF blacklist, that is, those countries for which there is a FATF call for action, namely North Korea and Iran. That poses additional reputational risks for named countries. It is incomprehensible to suggest that the AML/CFT risk posed by Barbados, The Bahamas or Jamaica is equivalent to that posed by those two countries for which a FATF call for action exists.  

    Third, as with the list before, the listed countries have complained that they were not given any advance notice of the updated list or any opportunity to query or contest their inclusion. The EU has stated it will provide technical assistance to those countries listed, but what will such assistance involve and how is it different from the assistance offered by the Caribbean Financial Action Task Force, the FATF regional body for the Caribbean?

    Fourth, the EU methodology only uses the FATF lists as the baseline for identification of countries with strategic deficiencies in their AML/CFT regimes. It begs the question why would the Commission, which is a full FATF member, see the need to create a separate list from FATF – the globally recognized standard-setting and monitoring body for AML/CFT matters. Moreover, unlike the FATF which provides detailed country-specific information through the mutual evaluation reports (MERs), the EU did not publish any detailed reasons for the inclusion of each jurisdiction.

    Fifth, the level of due diligence imposed by the EU goes beyond what is expected by FATF for countries listed as having strategic deficiencies in their AML/CFT regimes with an action plan. The FATF does not call for the application of ECDD to jurisdictions with strategic AML/CFT deficiencies with an Action Plan, but encourages its members to take into account the information presented in its risk analysis.

    Sixth, while the EU list does not impose sanctions or any other restrictions on trade, once a country has been listed as high-risk, European banks and other ‘obliged entities’ are required to apply ECDD on any transactions and relationships involving natural persons or legal entities based in such countries. Further, the EU’s Fifth Anti-Money Laundering Directive (5AMLD) provides additional guidance as to the type of ECDD required, which includes obtaining supplementary information on customers and beneficial owners.

    Implications for the Countries Listed

    There are already implications for the Bahamas, Barbados and Jamaica being on the FATF list but they increase with the EU list. The required ECDD on transactions  involving  clients  and  intermediaries from these countries could result in costlier and longer clearance times for transactions.

    The EU says its list is not a “name and shame” exercise, but there are reputational implications of being blacklisted or the threat of being blacklisted, especially in the increased climate of bank de-risking. Many large global banks in their risk rating of countries rely on FATF and other countries’ lists to assess country risk. Increased perceived country risk has implications for a jurisdiction’s attractiveness as an IFC and for its foreign direct investment (FDI) attraction more broadly. Some financial institutions may simply decide the enhanced transaction and business relationship monitoring is too much work and choose to de-risk.

    There are, of course, attendant implications for the ease of doing business, cross-border trade and financial transaction flows, which are the lifeblood of these countries’ economies.

    Next Steps?

    The updated draft list still requires approval by the European Parliament and the Council of the EU. So what can the named countries do in the interim? Since the EU has stated the FATF lists are its starting point, Barbados, The Bahamas and Jamaica have and should continue to prioritise addressing the outstanding issues highlighted by CFATF in order to exit the FATF grey list.

    The Bahamas, Barbados and Jamaica should continue public awareness and outreach activities to local stakeholders, as well as to external stakeholders, on their commitment and progress toward technical and effective compliance with the FATF recommendations.

    Lastly, whenever the EU unjustly and arbitrarily includes our countries on a list such as this, there is a chorus of indignation from our leaders about the morality reprehensibility of such lists. We need to go beyond emotional arguments and present sound empirical research on the impact of blacklisting or the threat of blacklisting on our economies. Perhaps that way we could truly empirically show the negative economic impact of these heavy-handed actions instead of simply appealing to moral suasion.  

    Alicia Nicholls, B.Sc., M.Sc., LL.B is an international trade and development specialist. Read more of her commentaries here or follow her on Twitter @licylaw. All views expressed herein are her personal views and do not necessarily reflect the views of any institution or entity with which she may from time to time be affiliated.

  • Caribbean Trade and Development News Digest – May 2-9, 2020

    Caribbean Trade and Development News Digest – May 2-9, 2020

    Welcome to the Caribbean Trade & Development News Digest for the week of May 2-9, 2020! We are happy to bring you the major trade and development headlines and analysis from across the Caribbean Region and the world from the past week.

    THIS WEEK’S HIGHLIGHTS

    UNCTAD released a special issue of its Investment Policy Monitor outlining the latest developments in national and international investment policies in response to the coronavirus pandemic. The report may be accessed here.

    A report by the World Trade Organization (WTO) examining the role of e-commerce in COVID-19 was released this week. Read it here.

    Regionally, the CARICOM Council for Trade and Economic Development (COTED) agreed on a strategy for re-opening the region’s economies. CARICOM Heads of Government also met virtually on 5 May 2020 to continue their efforts to harmonise their responses to and policies on the multifaceted impact of COVID-19. The full statement from the meeting may be read here.

    The Bahamas, Barbados and Jamaica have been included on the European Commission’s revised draft AML/CFT List of High Risk Third Countries released last week. Read my article on this here.

    REGIONAL NEWS

    Export revenues decline for January

    Jamaica Observer: The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) reported that for the month of January, revenues from exports amounted to US$102.7 million or 27.8 per cent lower than the US$142.3 million earned in the similar period last year. Read more

    COVID-19 presents great opportunities for J’can businesses — US ambassador

    Jamaica Observer: United States Ambassador to Jamaica, Donald Tapia says the COVID-19 pandemic presents great opportunities for Jamaican businesses to reach out to companies in the United States. Read more

    Regional Foreign Ministers meet to coordinate CARICOM’s foreign policy amid COVID-19 pandemic

    CARICOM: CARICOM Foreign Ministers were reminded of the importance of regional foreign policy coordination in the current uncertain times, as they opened the 23rd Meeting of the Council for Foreign and Community Relations (COFCOR) via video conference, Thursday. Read more

    Haiti’s Foreign Minister calls for collective action amidst coronavirus pandemic

    CARICOM: Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Haiti, His Excellency Dr. Claude Joseph, has urged his regional counterparts to take collective action as far as possible in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. Minister Joseph chaired the 23rd Meeting of CARICOM’s Council for Foreign and Community Relations (COFCOR) which opened Thursday via video conference. Read more

    Regional govts discuss united COVID response

    Barbados Today: Caribbean leaders are contemplating a region-wide policy that would re-open airports and hotels for intra-regional travel along with passengers from “selected” international countries, a CARICOM statement has revealed. Read more

    OECS plans regional virtual marketplace

    OECS: Plans for a regional virtual marketplace continue to be a key priority for the Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States. Read more

    INTERNATIONAL NEWS

    OACPS condemns new EU black list

    CARICOM: The Secretary-General of the Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States (OACPS), Georges Rebelo Pinto Chikoti, Thursday condemned the decision by the European Commission to include several African and Caribbean countries on a new list of high-risk third countries with strategic deficiencies in their regime regarding anti-money laundering and countering terrorist financing. Read more

    China says exports rose 3.5% in April, crushing expectations for a decline of 15.7%

    CNBC: China’s dollar-denominated exports unexpectedly rose in April, but imports fell the same month as movement restrictions to contain the coronavirus outbreak eased. Read more

    Covid-19 crisis has highlighted e-commerce importance,cooperation in cross-border goods, services movement: WTO

    Economic Times: Highlighting that network capacity and higher bandwidth services have proved to be crucial, not only during the pandemic itself, but also for e-commerce and economic inclusion in general, it said in an information note: “What can WTO members do to improve communications networks and services?” Read more

    ASEAN Intervenes to Fight Death Spiral of Food Export Restrictions

    VoA: Few images conjure the 1930s Depression like people standing in soup lines while farmers dump food they can’t sell. That is a tragedy Southeast Asia is fighting to avoid, though it is starting to happen in pockets around the world in the midst of COVID-19. Read more

    Under COVID-19 Pandemic, Global Remittances Expected to Decline 20%

    VoA: Stay-at-home quarantines and the temporary shutdown of some banks and establishments that provide money transfers are hindering how immigrants can send money back to their home countries, according to a special report by the World Bank. As a result, global remittances are projected to plunge by 20% in 2020. Read more

    Indonesia-Australia free trade deal to be activated by July

    Brisbane Times: A free trade deal covering $18 billion in agriculture, education and health services between Australia and Indonesia will be activated within two months, as the Morrison government looks to push the economy out of the coronavirus pandemic. Read more

    EU-Mexico trade deal prompts French farming backlash

    Euractiv: The European Union signed a free trade agreement with Mexico on Tuesday (28 April), provoking strong reactions. EURACTIV’s partner Ouest-France reports. Read more

    Trade deal promises falter as US exports to China fall 15%

    Nikkei Asian Review: American exports of goods to China dropped 14.7% on the year for the January-March quarter, as the coronavirus pandemic batters the global economy, raising the specter of Beijing unable to fulfill purchases promised under an initial trade deal. Read more

    Coronavirus: can China and the US uphold the phase one trade deal amid Covid-19?

    South China Morning Post: The economic damage being caused by the coronavirus, and the war of words over who is to blame for the pandemic, are rapidly increasing the doubts over whether the United States and China can uphold the terms of their phase one trade deal. Read more

    Brexit: Tension and uncertainty stalk trade talks

    BBC: Despite the fear, the misery and the suffocating uncertainty of Covid-19, by now you’ve no doubt heard on the Brussels-Paris-Berlin-Dublin-Belfast-London grapevine: the post-Brexit trade talks between the EU and the UK are in trouble. Read more

    UK to blame hard Brexit on COVID-19, warns EU trade chief

    Euractiv: The United Kingdom is preparing to walk away from trade talks with the EU and blame the impasse on the coronavirus pandemic, EU Trade Commissioner Phil Hogan said on Thursday (7 May). Read more

    Report: Rwanda most committed to AfCFTA

    The New Times: Rwanda is the country most committed to the African Continental Free Trade Area agreement, a new report, dubbed, The AfCFTA Year Zero Report, has said. Read more

    STRAIGHT FROM THE WTO

    NEW ON THE CTLD BLOG

    The Caribbean Trade & Development Digest is a weekly trade news digest produced and published by the Caribbean Trade Law & Development Blog. Liked this issue? To read past issues, please visit here. To receive these mailings directly to your inbox, please subscribe to our Blog below:

  • CARICOM’s Trade and Economic Council approves strategy for the re-opening of regional economies

    CARICOM’s Trade and Economic Council approves strategy for the re-opening of regional economies

    (CARICOM Secretariat, Turkeyen, Greater Georgetown, Guyana)    The fiftieth meeting of the Council for Trade and Economic Development (COTED) this week approved a strategy for the re-opening of economies in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). The Council which is made up of Trade Ministers and officials agreed to a framework centered on the development and adherence to defined metrics related to the Covid-19 virus, which will guide in the reopening process.

    The strategy recommends a graduated model which sees governments relaxing restrictions in a deliberate, phased and incremental manner based on the transmission risk profile of the pandemic in specified geographical locations, sectors or businesses.

    The framework suggests establishing a national public private consultative mechanism to govern the relaunch of economic activity at the Member State level; minimum standards which must be attained before relaxation of restrictions and communications to build public trust. There is also the proposal for Certificates of Operation to be issued to businesses that have been verified to be compliant in the protocols established for the industry.

    The fiftieth meeting of COTED held virtually yesterday, 6 May 2020 was chaired by the Grenada Minister of Economic Development, Trade, Planning and Labour, the Honourable Oliver Joseph; with Ministerial representation from most CARICOM Member States. The Premier of Montserrat, the Honourable Joseph E. Farrell also attended the meeting as well as representatives from the public and private sectors.

    PHOTO CAPTION: Chair of COTED, Grenada’s Minister of Economic Development, Trade, Planning and Labour, the Honourable Oliver Joseph.

    The preceding was a press release from CARICOM.

  • COVID-19: Caribbean begins ‘to flatten curve’ but economic damage inevitable

    COVID-19: Caribbean begins ‘to flatten curve’ but economic damage inevitable

    Alicia Nicholls

    Weeks of COVID-19 induced shutdowns and travel restrictions in most Caribbean countries appear to have yielded results. As the English-speaking Caribbean’s rate of new cases slows, several regional governments have cautiously embarked on phased re-openings in the belief that the curve has finally begun to flatten.

    This is indeed welcomed news, both from a human and economic standpoint. However, in addition to the human toll, there is no denying that COVID-19 presents an economic shock the likes of which the region has not witnessed in decades. Reduced domestic economic activity, halted tourist arrivals and growing unemployment, as well as the possible economic fall-out in our major trading partners and tourism source markets, are poised to send the region’s economies into a tailspin.

    Biggest Contraction Economic Activity in History

    New growth projections released this week by the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) warn that the COVID-19 pandemic will lead to the ‘biggest contraction in economic activity’ in the Latin America and Caribbean region’s history.

    In her press conference, the organisation’s Executive Secretary, Alicia Barcena stated categorically that  borrowing is not an option for Caribbean countries, many of which already have unsustainable debt levels and will need access to concessional financing and debt relief.

    As it currently stands, many Caribbean countries have been graduated from accessing many forms of concessional financing merely on the basis of being ranked by the World Bank as ‘middle income’ or ‘high income’ economies, without regard to the many inherent vulnerabilities they face.

    Barbados PM’s Renewed Call for a Vulnerability Index

    On this latter point, Barbados’ Prime Minister the Hon. Mia Amor Mottley’s renewed call for a vulnerability index instead of the current income per capita method for determining countries’ eligibility for concessional financing is timely. Her remarks were made during an eleven-minute interview with CNN International’s legendary journalist Christiane Amanpour in which she discussed the human and economic impact of COVID-19 on Barbados and the wider Caribbean Community (CARICOM), of which she is currently the Chairman.

    In the must-see interview, Prime Minister Mottley both praised and called for a revisiting of work conducted by The Commonwealth Secretariat on a Vulnerability Index over thirty years ago. On this note, the Shridath Ramphal Centre of The University of the West Indies (UWI) Cave Hill Campus has already begun conceptual work on a Trade Vulnerability Index.

    Caribbean Countries’ Economic Responses

    Within the limited fiscal space available, several Caribbean countries have announced stimulus packages whose social component aims at assisting the most vulnerable in their societies and supporting Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) which have been among the most affected by the economic fall-out.

    Barbados, which will enter Phase 2 of its lockdown exit strategy from May 4, has not only announced a BDS$20 million stimulus package but has also established a Jobs and Investment Advisory Council to help the island navigate the current headwinds.

    The COVID-19 pandemic could not come at a worse time for Barbados which since October 2018 has been implementing an economic recovery and transformation programme supported by the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s Extended Fund Facility. This week, a staff-level agreement was reached on the third review of the programme. In its first quarter economic review, the Central Bank of Barbados also this week forecasted a double-digit contraction in the Barbados economy this year due to the pandemic.

    COVID-19 lessons and legacies?

    From the start of the pandemic, the Caribbean’s leading tertiary institution, The UWI, has shown exemplary thought-leadership on this crisis through its research support to governments and general outreach activities.

    In an intellectually stimulating presentation during a conference entitled ‘COVID-19: Approaching Code Red’ hosted by The UWI’s Mona Campus, Ambassador Dr. Richard Bernal acknowledged the serious economic challenges posed by COVID-19, but also outlined some of the possible positive outcomes, such as the greater reliance on technology, more stringent health precautions taken by the airline industry, and the likelihood that the region’s tourism industry might rebound quickly as North Americans may prefer to travel closer to home.

    Like the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 whose economic impact it is predicted to surpass, the COVID-19 pandemic is leaving us with many lessons and legacies that will be debated by academics and policy makers for years to come. What is not debatable, however, is that this pandemic has further reinforced the vulnerability of many small States whose narrow export base and import dependence increase their susceptibility to external shocks such as this. As Prime Minister Mottley and many others before her have argued, there must be a rethink by the international community of eligibility for concessional financing.

    But the Caribbean must also take responsibility for its own fate. For starters, reliance on a single industry – in most cases tourism – for economic activity and employment has never been and will never be a sustainable economic path. Greater economic diversification, particularly into value added industries, is a must, as well as creating a facilitative environment for business, sustainable foreign direct investment (FDI) and entrepreneurship.

    The region’s high reliance on the importation of medical products and food remains unsustainable. Industrial and innovation policies are an imperative, and there is the need to, where possible, build manufacturing capacity for products which would be needed during a pandemic. On this score, it is commendable that several regional rum and spirit manufacturers have begun manufacturing rubbing and surgical alcohol and hand sanitisers to address regional supply shortages. The Bahamas has sought to reduce its dependence on imported masks by banning their importation and developing its own mask manufacturing industry. Regarding food security, CARICOM agricultural ministers met virtually on April 20 to discuss plans for boosting the region’s food production.

    The sometimes awkward shift from the face to face to online provision of services during the shutdowns reveals that the region’s governments and private sector still have far to go to fully take advantage of the digital age. Let us hope that even when the COVID-19 pandemic has been ‘conquered’ by a proven vaccine, Caribbean governments and businesses will continue to prioritise the embrace of technology.

    Additionally, it should not be forgotten that members of the Caribbean diaspora are among those who have tragically lost their lives to COVID-19, particularly in New York. Many of these persons would also have been supporting loved ones back in the region through remittances. That said, however, the diaspora can and has been a powerful resource, including by making donations of supplies and expertise.

    On a final note, I wish to extend my condolences to all families across the region and beyond who are mourning loved ones lost to this dreaded virus. I also join with many others in extending heartfelt kudos to all the essential workers who daily put their lives on the line to ensure we still have some measure of ‘normalcy’ in these abnormal times.

    Alicia Nicholls, B.Sc., M.Sc., LL.B., is an international trade and development consultant. You can also read more of her commentaries at www.caribbeantradelaw.com and follow her on Twitter @LicyLaw.

    DISCLAIMER: All views expressed herein are her personal views and do not necessarily reflect the views of any institution or entity with which she may be affiliated from time to time.