Category: Trade

  • De-Risking remains “a key priority”, according to US Treasury

    De-Risking remains “a key priority”, according to US Treasury

    Alicia Nicholls

    De-risking remains a “key priority” for the United States’ (US) Department of the Treasury. This is according to Acting Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence in the US Department of the Treasury, Mr. Adam Szubin, in a key note address delivered at the American Bankers Association/American Bar Association’s annual Money Laundering Enforcement Conference held in Washington DC November 13-15, 2016.

    The withdrawal and/or restriction of correspondent banking services as part of banks’ de-risking efforts has been a growing problem internationally, with small states in the Caribbean appearing to be the most affected, according to a World Bank study published last year. For small open economies, the loss of correspondent banking relationships threatens to sever their access to global trade, finance and remittance flows. Belize in particular has been seriously impacted by de-risking as even its Central Bank has seen some of its CBRs severed.

    Responding to those who highlight that the current regulatory environment is prohibiting  financial inclusion, Mr. Szubin noted that “we at Treasury firmly believe that expanding access to the financial system and protecting it from illicit activity are mutually reinforcing goals that can and must be addressed simultaneously.”

    He went on to discuss what the Treasury found were the reasons why some international banks were reassessing their business relationships:

    • Correspondent banking is a low-margin business in a global banking environment that has seen many multinational banks reassess their global strategic footprint, cut costs, and reallocate capital.
    • Heightened prudential standards following the global financial crisis
    • There are often very real concerns about the risks presented by anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) compliance

    It should be pointed out that Caribbean-based research on De-Risking and Its Impact found that “[banks’] decisions are based on a complex of factors, including the cost of compliance with laws and regulations, and is an unintended consequence of decisions taken by the official sector in globally systemic countries.”

    It is also worth noting that no CARICOM state is currently on the CFATF’s watch list, not even Belize which has been the most affected. Therefore, the view of Caribbean countries as “high risk” is unfounded. Another issue is that US banks themselves have highlighted the need for better regulatory guidance on de-risking, which shows that ambiguous regulations are indeed part of the problem. A good step is the Joint Fact Sheet entitled “Joint Fact Sheet on Foreign Correspondent Banking” released by the US Treasury and US regulators this August.

    Mr. Szubin then outlined the following ways in which the US is dealing with the problem:

    • On-going engagement with the private sector, foreign jurisdictions, money services businesses, non-profit organizations, including with the Caribbean
    • Ensuring that the global standards in place are well understood and implemented consistently and effectively e.g: release of its Factsheet clarifying that Knowing your customer’s customer – KYCC is not required
    • Treasury’s Office of Technical Assistance offers technical assistance to roughly 18 countries, including a number of countries impacted by de-risking
    • Information sharing and he gave an example of Mexico

    Mr. Szubin called the perception that banks are taking an indiscriminate approach to terminating, restricting, or denying services across entire sectors as “inaccurate and overblown and not, in fact, what most institutions are doing in terms of best practice”. This, however, has not been the experience of some banks in the Caribbean which have had their correspondent banking relationships severed without a concrete explanation and often with only a short notification period. Bank of America’s abrupt termination of its relationship with Belize’s largest bank, Belize Bank, is perhaps the most glaring example.

    Mr. Szubin did, however, encourage banks “to continue to take the time and effort to assess your controls and the risks presented by individual clients and where you cannot manage effectively that risk make conscientious decisions.”

    It is, however, comforting to know the US Treasury has reiterated its prioritisation of the phenomenon of de-risking, which bodes well for Caribbean governments and other stakeholders as they continue their lobbying on this issue.

    The full remarks may be accessed here.

    Alicia Nicholls is a trade and development consultant with a keen interest in sustainable development, international law and trade. You can also read more of her commentaries and follow her on Twitter @LicyLaw.

  • WTO: G20 Trade Restrictions remain high, despite slowdown in new measures

    WTO: G20 Trade Restrictions remain high, despite slowdown in new measures

    Alicia Nicholls

    Despite a slowdown in new measures, existing trade restrictions among the G20 countries remain high. This is according to the World Trade Organisation’s (WTO) latest Report on G2o Trade Measures (mid-May 2016 to mid-October 2016) released November 10, 2016.

    Some of the key findings of the sixteenth edition of this Report are as follows:

    • A total of 85 new trade-restrictive measures were implemented by G20 economies during the review period (mid-May to mid-October 2016).
    • This is an average of 17 new measures per month
    • The good news is that this is a decrease  from the 21 per month imposed in the previous reporting period (mid-October 2015 to mid-May 2016)but the WTO also cautioned that this is actually a return to the trend level for new trade-restrictive measures since 2009.
    • Of the 1,671 trade-restrictive measures (including trade remedies) recorded for G20 economies since 2008, only 408 had been removed by mid-October 2016.

    As noted by the WTO, these  findings are of concern given the slowdown in global trade flows and the continuing economic uncertainty in the world economy.

    The WTO in its recent downward revision of its trade forecasts is now predicting 1.7% growth in world merchandise trade volumes in 2016 (down from its previous forecast of 2.8%), the slowest rate of growth since 2009, and lower than global GDP forecasts of 2.2%.

    I would also add that President-elect Trump’s tariff-happy rhetoric does not bode well for the future reduction of trade restrictive barriers if he does go through with his promises.

    The WTO therefore noted that:

    “It is imperative that G20 economies — collectively and individually — re-double their efforts to deliver on their commitment to refrain from taking new protectionist measures and roll back existing ones.”

    The full report may be accessed here.

    Alicia Nicholls, B.Sc., M.Sc., LL.B. is a trade and development consultant with a keen interest in sustainable development, international law and trade. You can also read more of her commentaries and follow her on Twitter @LicyLaw.

     

  • What does a Trump presidency mean for Caribbean Tourism?

    What does a Trump presidency mean for most Caribbean countries’ largest foreign exchange earner? Secretary-General of the Caribbean Tourism Organisation, Mr. Hugh Riley, explores this issue in his latest blog post. Have a read here!

     

  • Caribbean Trade & Development Digest – November 7-12, 2016

    These are some of the major trade and development headlines and analysis across the Caribbean region and the world for the week of November 7-12, 2016. 

    For past issues, please visit here.

    Regional News

    All about trade flows between Haiti and the Dominican Republic

    HaitiLibre: An82-page report of the Center for Investment Facilitation (CFI), presented last September and released this week entitled “Trade Flows between Haiti and the Dominican Republic” presents the possibilities of rebalancing Haiti’s trade deficit with the DR either byimport substitution or export development.Read more

    Could Caribbean Economic Citizenship by Investment programmes Cash In on Donald Trump’s Election Victory?

    Caribbean360: Uncertainty and fear over a United States governed by a Donald Trump administration appears to be pushing wealthy Americans to look for alternative citizenships – and the Caribbean just might benefit. Read more

    Central Bank Warning for Trinidad & Tobago to avoid de-risking 

    Antigua Observer: The Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago (CBTT) is warning that the oil-rich twin island republic must achieve global compliance standards if it is to avoid being de-risked” within the international banking system. Read more

    Easing Embargo Boosted Cuba’s Tourism Revenue

    Newsweek: Revenues from tourism in Cuba rose 15 percent in the first half of 2016 compared with the same period last year, official data showed on Friday, with the number of visitors from the United States soaring around 80 percent. Read more 

    International News

    Ecuador joins the EU’s trade agreement with Colombia and Peru

    EU News: On 11 November 2016, the EU, its member states, Ecuador, Colombia and Peru signed the protocol of accession of Ecuador to the EU’s free trade agreement with Colombia and Peru. This signature followed the decision by the Council to sign and provisionally apply this protocol. Read more

    Trump talks tough on trade, has at least one NAFTA member willing to play ball

    CNBC: Just this week, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, a staunch proponent of trade, announced his willingness to head back to the negotiating table, acknowledging that over time trade deals must be given another look to be sure they’ve advanced with the times.read more

    Brazil files WTO complaint against US over countervailing measures on steel products

    WTO: On 11 November, Brazil notified the WTO Secretariat that it had requested dispute consultations with the United Stated regarding countervailing duties imposed by the United States on imports of Brazilian cold— and hot-rolled steel flat products.Read more

    Trade Restrictions among G20 remain high , despite slight slowdown in new measures

    WTO: The WTO’s sixteenth monitoring report on Group of 20 (G20) trade measures, issued on 10 November, shows that the number of trade-restrictive measures applied by G20 economies remains high, despite a slight decline against the previous period. Read more

    India, Bhutan sign new bilateral trade agreement

    IndianExpress: “The bilateral agreement aims at cutting down on documentation and adding additional exit and entry points for Bhutan’s trade with other countries”, officials said. Read more

    COP22 Marrakech: Will Trump’s presidency topple international efforts at climate action?

    The Hindu: As news of Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential poll came, delegations at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference (COP22) underway in Marrakech considered the prospect that America might pull out of the Paris Agreement leading to its collapse.

    What Donald Trump’s Election means for the future of US trade

    Fortune: Trade has been front and center of the U.S. Presidential election. Now that voters have chosen Donald Trump as the nation’s next president, what can they expect from his policies on trade? Read more 

    New on Caribbean Trade Law & Development 

    President-elect Trump’s trade policy proposals

    What may a Trump presidency mean for future US-Caribbean presidency